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Comparing oncology clinical programs by use of innovative designs and expected net present value optimization

Designing an oncology clinical program is more challenging than designing a single study. The standard approaches have been proven to be not very successful during the last decade; the failure rate of Phase 2 and Phase 3...

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Supporting multiattribute decisions in scenario planning using a simple method based on ranks
Paul Goodwin
Oct 25, 2019
A neglected area of scenario planning is the provision of support for strategic decisions that involve multiple attributes. When the number of scenarios and attributes is large, conventional multiattribute decision analysis...
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Fast and frugal heuristics for portfolio decisions with positive project interactions
We consider portfolio decision problems with positive interactions between projects. Exact solutions to this problem require that all interactions are assessed, requiring time, expertise and effort that may not always be...
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The value of information for correlated GLMs
We examine the situation where a decision maker is considering investing in a number of projects with uncertain revenues. Before making a decision, the investor has the option to purchase data which carry information about the...
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Fast and frugal heuristics for portfolio decisions with positive project interactions
We consider portfolio decision problems with positive interactions between projects. Exact solutions to this problem require that all interactions are assessed, requiring time, expertise and effort that may not always be...
Published by:
The value of information for correlated GLMs
We examine the situation where a decision maker is considering investing in a number of projects with uncertain revenues. Before making a decision, the investor has the option to purchase data which carry information about the...
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Optimal exercise of jointly held real options
This paper provides a two-stage decision framework in which two or more parties exercise a jointly held real option. We show that a single party’s timing decision is always socially efficient if it precedes bargaining on the...
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Optimal exercise of jointly held real options
This paper provides a two-stage decision framework in which two or more parties exercise a jointly held real option. We show that a single party’s timing decision is always socially efficient if it precedes bargaining on the...
Published by:
Comparing oncology clinical programs by use of innovative designs and expected net present value optimization

Designing an oncology clinical program is more challenging than designing a single study. The standard approaches have been proven to be not very successful during the last decade; the failure rate of Phase 2 and Phase 3...

Published by:
Supporting multiattribute decisions in scenario planning using a simple method based on ranks
Paul Goodwin
Oct 25, 2019
A neglected area of scenario planning is the provision of support for strategic decisions that involve multiple attributes. When the number of scenarios and attributes is large, conventional multiattribute decision analysis...
Published by: