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Artist-Educator Rae Goodwin '06 Receives National Award
Winthrop University
Jan 01, 0001
Goodwin is one of only two teachers nationwide to receive the 2017 FATE Educator Award. She earned her M.F.A. (focus on sculpture) at Winthrop.
Published by: Winthrop University
Climate Endgame
Luke Kemp, Chi Xu, Joanna Depledge, Kristie L Ebi, Goodwin Gibbins, Timothy A Kohler, Johan Rockström, Marten Scheffer, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Will Steffen, Timothy M Lenton
Sep 02, 2022
Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in worldwide societal collapse or...
Four President's Award Recipients Recognized at May 7 Undergraduate Commencement
Winthrop University
Jan 01, 0001
President Dan Mahony announced that John W. Barrera, Lauren A. Goodwin, Zane M. Repp and Kathryn V. Steverson earned the President's Award. Both Barrera and Steverson will pursue medical degrees - Barrera at the University of...
Published by: Winthrop University
Twelve tips for developing palliative care teaching in an undergraduate curriculum for medical students.
Palliative care is the holistic care of patients with advanced, progressive incurable illness. Palliative care is well recognized as an essential component of medical student curricula. However, teaching is variable within...
Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”
Paul Goodwin
Apr 01, 2022
This commentary discusses three criteria that should be satisfied in order to justify the choice of a complex forecasting method over a simple one.
When simple alternatives to Bayes formula work well
Paul Goodwin
Aug 01, 2015
Bayes theorem is the normative method for revising probability forecasts when new information is received. However, for unaided forecasters its application can be difficult, effortful, opaque and even counter-intuitive. Two...
Supporting multiattribute decisions in scenario planning using a simple method based on ranks
Paul Goodwin
Oct 25, 2019
A neglected area of scenario planning is the provision of support for strategic decisions that involve multiple attributes. When the number of scenarios and attributes is large, conventional multiattribute decision analysis...
Jan. 30 Discussion to Focus on the Affordable Care Act in South Carolina
Winthrop University
Jan 01, 0001
The panelists will be Windsor W. Sherrill, a Clemson University professor and associate vice president for health research, and Rozalynn Goodwin, vice president for engagement, S.C. Hospital Association. Morton & Gettys attorney...
Published by: Winthrop University
Legitimate Love
The Civil Partnership Act (CPA) came into force in the UK on 5 December 2005, entitling same-sex relationships to formal legal recognition. It is the second piece of legislation (following the Adoption & Children Act, 2002)...
Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects
Demand forecasting is critical to sales and operations planning (S&OP), but the effects of sales promotions can be difficult to forecast. Typically, a baseline statistical forecast is judgmentally adjusted on receipt of...
Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems
This paper provides a review and evaluation of the use of scenario methods from the Intuitive Logics (IL) school to address so-called ‘wicked problems’. Scenario planning has been widely advocated by its practitioners and its...
Decision making. Intuitive logics scenarios Soft OR methods Wicked problems /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1700/1700 name=General Computer Science /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2600/2611 name=Modelling and Simulation /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1800/1803 name=Management Science and Operations Research /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1800/1802 name=Information Systems and Management
Is a more liberal approach to conservatism needed in forecasting?
Paul Goodwin
Aug 01, 2015
I discuss evidence that supports several of the principles put forward in the paper by Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (AGG), but argue that the packaging of these principles as a single “golden rule”’ and the use of the term...
When simple alternatives to Bayes formula work well
Paul Goodwin
Aug 01, 2015
Bayes theorem is the normative method for revising probability forecasts when new information is received. However, for unaided forecasters its application can be difficult, effortful, opaque and even counter-intuitive. Two...
Is a more liberal approach to conservatism needed in forecasting?
Paul Goodwin
Aug 01, 2015
I discuss evidence that supports several of the principles put forward in the paper by Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (AGG), but argue that the packaging of these principles as a single “golden rule”’ and the use of the term...
The influence of product involvement and emotion on short term product demand forecasting
Sales forecasters in industries like fast–fashion face challenges posed by short sales time series that are highly volatile. Computers can produce statistical forecasts, but these are often judgmentally adjusted to take into...
Legitimate Love
The Civil Partnership Act (CPA) came into force in the UK on 5 December 2005, entitling same-sex relationships to formal legal recognition. It is the second piece of legislation (following the Adoption & Children Act, 2002)...
Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems
Computer-based demand forecasting systems have been widely adopted in supply chain companies, but little research has studied how these systems are actually used in the forecasting process. We report the findings of a case...
Identification of HSP47 Binding Site on Native Collagen and Its Implications for the Development of HSP47 Inhibitors
Haiyan Cai, Parvathy Sasikumar, Gemma Little, Dominique Bihan, Samir W. Hamaia, Aiwu Zhou, Jonathan M. Gibbins, Richard W. Farndale
Jul 07, 2021
HSP47 (heat shock protein 47) is a collagen-specific molecular chaperone that is essential for procollagen folding and function. Previous studies have shown that HSP47 binding requires a critical Arg residue at the Y position of...
Supporting multiattribute decisions in scenario planning using a simple method based on ranks
Paul Goodwin
Oct 25, 2019
A neglected area of scenario planning is the provision of support for strategic decisions that involve multiple attributes. When the number of scenarios and attributes is large, conventional multiattribute decision analysis...
Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”
Paul Goodwin
Apr 01, 2022
This commentary discusses three criteria that should be satisfied in order to justify the choice of a complex forecasting method over a simple one.
Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems
Computer-based demand forecasting systems have been widely adopted in supply chain companies, but little research has studied how these systems are actually used in the forecasting process. We report the findings of a case...
The influence of product involvement and emotion on short term product demand forecasting
Sales forecasters in industries like fast–fashion face challenges posed by short sales time series that are highly volatile. Computers can produce statistical forecasts, but these are often judgmentally adjusted to take into...
An Interactive Text Message Survey as a Novel Assessment for Bedtime Routines in Public Health Research
BACKGROUND: Traditional research approaches, especially questionnaires and paper-based assessments, limit in-depth understanding of the fluid dynamic processes associated with child well-being and development. This includes...
Accuracy and bias of experts' adjusted forecasts
This study investigates whether experts' group-based judgmental adjustments to econometric forecasts of tourism demand improve the accuracy of the forecasts and whether the adjusted forecasts are unbiased. The Delphi method was...
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